French Open Betting Preview – Odds to Win Roland Garros 2019

The 2019 French Open is in its last week, and there are still plenty of big names still in play. It’s the endgame now for this tennis tournament. Each player is aiming to reach the weekend at the highest possible level. The odds have slightly moved around, with a few surprises. This is especially the case on the women’s side. The men’s bracket pretty much looks flawless, and that’s also intriguing.

The best match-ups are ahead, so check out our French Open betting analysis and preview. Let’s have a quick look at the updated odds to win the 2019 French Open. We will look at the eight tennis players still alive on the men’s and women’s singles.

2019 Roland Garros Men’s Odds

There are no surprises here. The 11-time Roland Garros winner and current champ, Rafael Nadal, is still is the favorite to win. This victory would add another Grand Slam to his unreal resume on the clay. Nadal lost a set against David Goffin in the third round of the tournament, which is newsworthy, but he’s playing very solid once again.

At -140, MyBookie is giving the Spaniard a 59% chance of winning the French Open again. In his bracket, Roger Federer could be a potential semifinal match up, but we know Nadal has the edge against the Swiss player. Both in clay matches and overall. Nadal winning the Roland Garros is the safest bet available in tennis in the last decade. He remains at the top of his game; even at the age of 33. If the Spaniard wins again, it won’t be a surprise for anyone.

Of course, the one tennis pro that can challenge Nadal is Novak Djokovic. The Serbian is not only young, but one of the best tennis players in the history of the sport. Many would suggest the best days of Nole’s career are behind, and that might be true. However, the one thing to realize is he is still in his prime. He was so good that a few years back he raised the bar way too high, even for himself.

MyBookie.ag has Nole listed at +250 to win his second career French Open and first since 2016. They are giving Djokovic a 29% implied probability to collect that bet. The fact that he has to face Rafael Nadal only in the final is a big advantage, and won’t have to deal with Roger Federer unless the Swiss upsets against Nadal. So, in theory, the Serbian has the easier path to the title.

Novak Djokovic didn’t lose a single set in the entire first week of the tournament. He actually said he feels as good as he was in 2016. We might want to take a look at the value on his odds, and perhaps even place a bet on this underdog.

If you don’t follow tennis regularly, you might expect Roger Federer to be the player with the third best odds to win. Not so fast. You need to learn the name Dominic Thiem. Not only for his current performance, but in future Roland Garros tournaments as well.

Australian player Dominic Thiem has become a machine in clay tournaments and is ready to take the step to become one of the best in France. He reached the final match last season, losing against Nadal. It was a glimpse of what he can do.

A +700 bet on Dominic Thiem winning the whole French Open offers an implied probability of 12%. He might not be the biggest name in the tour, but it presents the better value of all remaining players. His style is well-suited to compete on clay, but mostly his age and stamina helps him go the distance when necessary.

Well, since we’ve talked about the vale, how about finding the best player in the history of tennis at +1400 to win his second Roland Garros title? Roger Federer is not getting any respect from the oddsmakers, but who can blame them? History says this is the tournament that the Swiss player usually fails to win. There are different reasons for it, but he enters the second week of the French Open with the same doubts as always.

Federer won the Roland Garros in 2009, and is the only Grand Slam he hasn’t won multiple times. In fact, he gave up on the tournament in the past three seasons, where he didn’t even participate. He said he wanted to prepare for Wimbledon. This season, Federer decided to come back for two reasons.

1. It’s been 10 years since won his only French Open title
2. At the age of 37-years old, he doesn’t know how many more of these he can play.

Roger Federer hasn’t lost a set so far in the 2019 Roland Garros, and he enters the last quarter finals playing at a very high level. This season he has only lost three matches and has already won two singles titles. The tennis season is still young for him to add another one. If you like authentic long shots, Federer at +1400 is your play.

2019 Roland Garros Women’s Odds

The losses of Serena Williams, Naomi Osaka, and Karolína Plíšková opened the entire bracket on the women’s side. It gave the Romanian Simona Halep the favorite label for the rest of the tournament.

Halep was ranked third behind Osaka and Plíšková. But beyond that, she’s the current French Open titleholder, after taking down Sloane Stephens in three sets last season. The Romanian has reached the final twice in a row and three times in her career. She had said the French Open is her favorite Grand Slam and clay is the surface she dominates in the most.

Simona Halep is listed +140 to win the French Open for the second year in a row. The odds are giving her a 42% chance to win the title. It’s quite an impressive number, considering eight strong players still remain.

Johanna Konta pulled off an amazing upset as she beat the American Sloane Stephens. Stephens was expected to make it to the final and try to get revenge for her loss last year, but Konta ended that plan with a dominant performance. The British tennis player has +900 odds of winning the French Open, not very good odds, but those should improve as she moves into the semi-finals.

She has yet to win one of the grand slam titles, but after her victory against Sloane, anything could happen. This is one underdog that you should definitely keep an eye on, as she moves on in the tournament. This is the first time she moves beyond the first round in Roland Garros. She should be feeling a big high after winning, and that inertia could carry her to the finals. Her next opponent is Marketa Vondrousova, a great competitor, but Konta still looks to be the favorite in that match.

About the Author

Alonzo Solano

Sports Analyst and Content Writer

Alonzo is a Sports Betting Analyst and casino games enthusiast who has covered Football extensively at SBS, but don’t be surprised if you read him on other sports. He's the host of the NFL Latino TV podcast.

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